Tuesday, October 30, 2012

Top 5 Reasons Why I am Excited for the 2012-2013 Washington Wizards

Get well soon,  John!
Hi. Thanks for visiting. Since you clicked on this I can assume that you enjoy basketball and even may enjoy Washington Wizards' basketball. This enjoyment of basketball is good too because it will make the slow and painful descent of the NFL easier to swallow.

But the chances are that you don't enjoy Washington Wizards basketball. You might be a FAN of the Wizards but since The New Year Hangover of 2010, when the Shots Weren't Heard Around The World, being a Wizards fan has been difficult. The team deemed this incident "unacceptable," an understatement if there ever was one and have since attempted to scrub away all the blood shed in recent years. The Wizards traded two of the original big three, Caron Butler and Antawn Jamison, for six players no longer employed by the team. They tried to tank, and succeeded, ending with the 5th-best-odds of obtaining the Number 1 pick and ultimately winning the Draft Lottery. Wizards fans everywhere cheered when John Wall was picked. Then, it seemed, things started to fall into place: we picked up Kirk Hinrich and a pick (Kevin Seraphin) from the Bulls; we dumped Gilbert Arenas for Rashard Lewis (more on this later); dumped Hinrich for Jordan Crawford, and a pick (Chris Singleton) from the Hawks; and unveiled pretty awesome new jerseys.

That was two years ago. Then came last year. The John Wall and JaVale McGee Show that never happened. The team still had more clowns this side of a Bryce Harper post-game interview, and they needed to go. Exit: Flip Saunders, JaVale McGee, Ronny Turiaf, Nick Young, Rashard Lewis, and Andray Blatche. Enter:  Randy Wittman, Nenê, Emeka Okafor, Trevor Ariza, Bradley Beal, A.J. Price, Jannero Pargo, and Martell Webster.

This year we have some talent. We have some of the pieces. We have John Wall and Bradley Beal in the backcourt, a tandem of top picks more Washingtonians are down to get behind than Obama/Biden or Romney/Ryan. We have veteran role players poised to eat up big minutes and contribute both offensively and defensively. But we are missing a piece, and until we get that piece we will remain bad to mediocre. But, on to the positives.

Without further ado here is the Top 5:


Honorable Mention: Eva Kodouskova
This is Jan Vesely's girlfriend. The internet almost broke after he was drafted two years ago. She was left off from the original Top 5 list but after further thought I realized how much more excited I am to see her sitting on the sidelines, dissecting Jan's game play- she is the center for a Czech professional women's basketball team (VS Praha if you actually care)- than any of the other 5 reasons I picked. But because this post is about basketball, and not my personal taste for Eastern Bloc women, I felt the need to relegate her to Honorable Mention status. Glad I got that one off my chest.

5. No Rashard Lewis, No Andray Blatche
MJ no longer walking through that door
I hear you smiling. Being between a rock and a hard place as the Wizards have been for the past years has sucked much of the fun out of watching this team. This year both of these guys are out of town; Blatche to Brooklyn and Lewis to Miami, giving Wizards fans two big reasons to celebrate. Andray Blatche left the Wizards with a career line of 9.9PPG, 5.4RPG, while shooting 45% from the field, which doesn't paint him as a terrible player. And to be honest his 2009-2010 and 2010-2011 campaigns showed us some of Blatche's potential, as he posted career highs in every relevant category other than games played and blocks. Then the lockout happened and he no longer treated his body as if it belonged to a professional athlete. He became unusable, dogging it nearly every single night and giving less effort than Ben Affleck acting career from 1997-2008. Getting benched for "lack of conditioning," usually results in a non-amicable separation, and that's essentially what happened. He got kicked out of the Wizards bar- he didn't have to go home but he certainly couldn't stay in Washington. If you are a professional athlete you should at least invest in a Bow-Flex. Or a stationary bike, those take very little effort.

The Rashard Lewis problem was simple. The Wizards traded for him and his untradable contract to unload Arenas and his untradable contract, and that whole gun thing. But then Lewis stunk up the gym.  An almost 39% career three point shooter in his 12 seasons prior to joining the Wizards, Lewis shot 34% and 24% (before a knee injury ended his season in February) in the two seasons he spent in Chocolate City- both bottom 5 career percentages. Lewis, always a guy who could fill it up and stroke threes became a black hole and a defensive liability, but was still under contract on his backloaded six-year $118 million dollar contract. You can debate the acquisitions of Okafor and Ariza, especially considering the size and lengths of their contracts (together they are owed 43 million over the next two years) but their defensive pedigrees make them especially interesting considering the Wizards defensive inefficiencies in previous years.

4. Randy Wittman
The Washington Post calls Wittman a "hard-nosed taskmaster who isn't afraid to hurt players' feelings to get the desired results." This is no longer the Gilbert Arenas Era Wizards, this isn't even the Cinnamon Challenge Wizards, this is a Wizards team built on hard work, defensive intensity, rebounding, and hustle. All clichés, but all true enough. This is a team destined to go through some growing pains, sure, but Wittman has said all the right things and all the goofballs are gone so there is reason to hope he can stick around for a few years. Hopefully he will be popular enough that if he offered 10 free burrito's he could give away more than one.

3. John Wall
This one felt like a cop out because John Wall is obviously the most important player for the 2012-2013 Wizards. Maybe I could have picked someone more under the radar. But then it was obvious that he should be included because he is the face of the franchise that is frantically rebuilding to appease him. He is entering his third year in the NBA after being selected with the No. 1 overall pick, so expectations at this point in his career are sky high for Mr. Wall. Assuming the stress injury in his knee heals on schedule and he can return to the lineup before December he gives the Wizards a special kind of talent. His averages in PPG, RPG, APG and TO's last year were nearly identical to his rookie season, but what has Wizards fans excited, or depressed, depending on your personality, is his shooting numbers. He shot 42.3% from the field last year, which is really not that good for a player of his supposed caliber. But it is markedly better than his 40.9% as a rookie. He has always been an effective finisher around the basket, and if he can improve his midrange shooting he gives this team the offense it desperately needs. His three point shooting is another matter entirely. He does not take that many threes, but when he does he misses them. He is Dos Equis Least Effective Three Point Shooter, but for the Wizards to have any chance at relevancy this season he has become a competent shooter. The Wizards are starting to put some pieces around him, if John Wall is destined to take the leap and become a Top-25 player in the NBA, this is the year. But remember, before any of this in order to ball like Wall you gotta do the dance.

2. Big Men
The names "JaVale McGee," "Andray Blatche," and "Rashard Lewis" give Wizards fans PTSD. Or, if they don't they should. Flashbacks of missed three pointers, missed ally-oops, ill-advised ally-oops, terrible shot selection, cinnamon challenges, YouTube videos filled with lowlights, and being too out of shape to play in games, dance in my head like visions of sugarplums. This years team has Okafor, and his career double-double. There's Trevor Ariza who matches his defensive intensity with strong three point shooting and a strong ability to finish. Trevor Booker, the 6-8 banger who shoots 54% from the field, who crashes the defensive glass like an all-star, and is built like a brick house, promises to give the Wizards quality minutes off the bench (or starter until Nenê comes back). Speaking of Nenê, if he can stay healthy- plantar fasciitis is known to linger- will give the Wizards a veteran inside force who can grab rebounds and who has a much better offensive game than Booker. Jan Vesely was one of the single most improved Wizards over the course of last season and there is reason to believe that he can continue to get better and cash in on his considerable potential. He shoots a high percentage, 54%, can grab a few rebounds and plays high energy defense. If he can curb some of the dumber fouls he makes and can stay on the court for longer periods of time he has the potential to mature into a key piece moving forward and top five scoring option.

Among the Wizards big men the one who I am most excited for is Kevin Seraphin. He is 22 and is entering his third season in the NBA after being taken in the first round. He played for France in the Olympics over the summer, and though they didn't medal or really come close to doing so, his excelling on a team with NBA guys like Tony Parker, Boris Diaw, and Nicholas Batum should bode well for his confidence coming in to the season. Seraphin played in 57 games last year and put up 7.9PPG, 4.9RPG, and 1.3BPG, all statistics he more or less doubled from his rookie season. When you look at the 21 games he started on the season, however, the numbers become more impressive: 14.3PPG, 7.3RPG, and 1.8BPG. With Nenê out for the foreseeable future, Seraphin seems likely to poach his minutes and cash in on his impressive potential.

1. Bradley Beal
The future is bright. 
This one was obvious as soon as John Wall clocked in at 3. Bradley Beal was the third pick in the NBA Draft- a draft they tell is one of the deepest in memory- and, with the Wizards' lack of depth at the guard spots, will be expected to contribute right away. This is a guy whose shooting ability has been compared to Ray Allen on many an occasion, who, at 6-3 pulled down 6.7 rebounds a game in college, and who doesn't need to dominate the ball to put up numbers (shout out Nick Young!). He and Wall create a back court so promising, so young, that it's almost hard not to be excited about this potential duo. All they need is a nickname. He will likely struggle at the beginning of the season, with Wall's early injury forcing him to contribute heavily from the start, but his make up, mental toughness, and obvious talent will help him overcome these early obstacles on route to a highly successful freshman campaign. Plus, he is one of the hungriest players in the league according to twitter. So there's that.

Are the Washington Wizards going to contend for the playoffs this year? In all likelihood, probably not. There are certain scenarios, however, where the Wizards can be successful. The sooner Nenê comes back the better. He gives them scoring, rebounding, and a dominating low post presence. If John Wall comes back on schedule and plays up to the level everyone thinks he can reach, if Bradley Beal develops quickly, and if Kevin Seraphin can make the leap from bench player to bona fide starter the Wizards can be good. They can't be great. Their ceiling lies somewhere around the 7th or 8th seed in the relatively underwhelming Eastern Conference probably. Early projections have the Raptors possibly sneaking into the playoffs so, really, anything is possible. Just ask Kevin Garnett.

Tonight is game one of 82. It's a long season. We may not be good, at times we may not be exciting, but, as compared to years past you will be able to enjoy Washington Wizards basketball this year. And isn't that what really matters?

Yeah you're right. There's always next year. Prediction: 32-50, well out of the playoffs.